The Politico and Morning Consult poll, released on December 15, shows the following question and its answers, among the 1,998 registered U.S. voters sampled:[Question #5] If Joe Biden didn’t run in the 2024 presidential election, who would you vote for in a Democratic presidential primary? (N = 916 [registered Democratic Party voters responding]) Cory Booker 42 = 5% Pete Buttigieg 101 = 11% Kamala Harris 286 = 31% Elizabeth Warren 74 = 8% Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 70 = 8% Gavin Newsom 24 = 3% Roy Cooper 6 = 1% Eric Adams 6 = 1 % Gina Raimondo 6 = 1% Amy Klobuchar 27 = 3% Someone else (please specify) 20 = 2% Not sure 230 = 25% I would not vote 23 = 3%
Here is the survey methodology:
Methodology: This survey was conducted from December 11 to 13, 2021 with a sample of registered voters in 1998. Interviews were conducted online and data was weighted to approximate a target sample of registered voters based on gender by age, education level, race, marital status, home ownership, race by education level, 2020 presidential vote and region. The results of the full survey have a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points.
In other words: Kamala Harris, right now, is the most preferred 2024 candidate (# 1) among registered Democratic Party voters by around 31% of Democratic Party primary voters. No.2 is tied at 8% each for Warren and Ocasio-Cortez, who would split the progressive vote if the two came forward. Yet again, if just one of those two candidates comes forward, there wouldn’t be more than 16% support for that candidate, right now. Given that that 16% is only half of the number of voters who prefer Harris, Harris currently seems very likely to be the next Democratic Party candidate if Biden does not stand for re-election then.
On December 9, the Chronicle of San Francisco headlined “Kamala Harris would lose badly to Trump in 2024 but fare better than Pete Buttigieg, poll finds” and reported that:
The Harvard / HarrisX poll, conducted among 1,989 people surveyed between November 30 and December 2, found that in a hypothetical Trump-Harris clash, Trump receives 50% support, Harris receives 41% support, and 9 % are uncertain. Trump would win the Electoral College in a landslide with that margin.
As the poll reveals Harris is fighting Trump, it revealed that Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, who reportedly considered challenging Harris in a 2024 Democratic presidential primary if President Joe Biden did not seek re-election, s ‘came out even worse. …
The poll is actually pretty good for Harris in a hypothetical 2024 Democratic primary without Biden, as it shows her comfortably leading the pack – which also includes Buttigieg, Sens. Bernie Sanders, Cory Booker, Elizabeth Warren, Amy Klobuchar and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez among others – with 31% support. Sanders, who will be 82 by the time of the primaries and unlikely to run a third time, received 15% support and Buttigieg received 8% support.
Therefore: Right now, based on this data alone, the next most likely US president is Donald Trump. Therefore, the billionaires (and hundred millionaires) of the Democratic Party and all the billionaires (and hundred millionaires) of the Republican Party who donated to Biden against Trump in 2020, will likely donate to Harris in 2024, which means she would likely be backed by more money than Trump would be. Therefore, Harris might actually have a better chance of winning than losing in 2024 against Trump.
To further complicate the picture, since Trump has a lot more legal baggage to weigh him down than the much younger Harris, billionaires who prefer Harris over Trump will likely do whatever they can to get Trump indicted on a legal charge (s) in order to guarantee that Harris would win the 2024 competition.
In the 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries, here are the number of billionaires who made donations (in declared, non-secret) donations to each of the candidates, as reported Forbes:
1. Pete Buttigieg: 23 billionaire donors
2. Cory Booker: 18 billionaire donors
3. Kamala Harris: 17 billionaire donors
4. Michael Bennet: 15 billionaire donors
5. Joe Biden: 13 billionaire donors
6. John Hickenlooper: 11 billionaire donors
7. Beto O’Rourke: 9 billionaire donors
9. Jay Inslee: 5 billionaire donors
10. Kirsten Gillibrand: 4 billionaire donors
11. Elizabeth Warren and John Delaney: 3 billionaire donors each
12. Steve Bullock: 2 billionaire donors
13. Tulsi Gabbard, Andrew Yang and Marianne Williamson: 1 billionaire donor each
14. Bernie Sanders, Julian Castro, Bill De Blasio and Tim Ryan: 0 billionaire donors
Therefore, since Harris had even more billionaire appeal than Biden, the 2024 Democratic Party presidential candidate would likely be even better funded if Harris became the candidate than if Biden would (or did). And, this time around, she would receive financial support not only from billionaires in the Democratic Party, but many billionaires in the Republican Party as well.
Therefore: Harris is, right now, in a remarkably good position to become the next President of the United States, given that his current net approval rating is -12.2% while Biden’s is -9.3% and Trump’s is -11.5%. This indicates that, while in a Biden-Trump clash the likely winner would be Biden, a Harris-Trump clash would likely produce a Trump victory. Basically, since probably 1944, the presidential and vice-presidential elections of the United States have been won by the billionaires and centimillionaires who donate the bulk of the funds (official and especially unofficial) to the political campaign, and thus those few people. have been served very well by all or almost all of the US administrations. In recent times this has been confirmed in the scientific analyzes that have been done on the matter, and it has even been confirmed to be granularly the case at the level of state legislatures (that even at this level, “Politicians don’t really care what voters want”, but are instead controlled not by the electorate, which is malleable by whatever the super-rich want them to believe, but by the super-rich , who essentially hire the winning politicians). This has also been confirmed to have been the case in recent US presidential contests, such as Hillary-versus-first-Sanders-and-then-Trump in 2016. And, again, it would happen if either of these three people (Harris, Biden or Trump) becomes the next US president. This is why American billionaires are well served no matter who wins, and why what the American public needs or even wants is always a secondary concern, if any concern, to the people who win these “elections” (by the billionaires and hundred millionaires). As faces change, basic policies remain the same. As Joe Biden said during a fundraiser, “nothing would fundamentally change” under a Biden presidency. Everyone in America who votes for “change” votes liars, but in that leaked comment that Biden did to a bunch of his mega-donors, what he said turned out to be the truth. Voting cannot fundamentally change anything in the US government, because it is a dictatorship, and anyone who says otherwise is either a liar or a fool. The data to date are overwhelming on this fact. And that’s why, no matter which American party dominates the other, billionaires in America are well served, while the public is poorly served (if at all). Billionaires will go as far as they can, unless they spark a second American Revolution (this time to win over the super-rich Americans instead of Britain’s), and what they have now bought in the US government is their own fascist dictatorship. , governed, collectively, behind the scenes, and very secretly, by themselves.